Replies to This Discussion

Permalink Reply by Don Chappell on March 14, 2008 at 11:28pm

Good heads up, Eric!

I'll try to read this over the weekend. It sounds interesting.

Permalink Reply by Eric Walters on April 20, 2008 at 4:02pm

Jon Compton's editorial in the Winter 2007 edition of FIRE AND MOVEMENT got me thinking...and so I fulfilled my duty as one of the staff-bloggers-at-large over at the Small Wars Journal website Check it out at:

Problems and Prospects of Defense Counterinsurgency Wargaming

Permalink Reply by Jon Compton on April 20, 2008 at 5:06pm

I'll read this paper shortly. Regarding mathematical modeling of terrorism, I wrote a paper a few years ago in which I did just that. Here's a link for your entertainment: http://joncompton.com/ViolentSystems.pdf. The model needs some respecification in that it's not empirically estimable as constructed. I think I would probably drop the life-cycle equation for starters, along with a few other things.

Permalink Reply by Jon Compton on May 7, 2008 at 10:54pm

Eric, The paper references Green and Armstrong (2003), but doesn't have the citation in the references section. Are you familiar with the work that they're citing? See the first paragraph in the introduction.

Permalink Reply by Jon Compton on May 10, 2008 at 8:40am

I found it. Actually it's two papers. Quite interesting actually. Here's links:

http://www.forecastingprinciples.com/paperpdf/Greenforecastingincon...
http://www.forecastingprinciples.com/paperpdf/Assessing%20Game%20Th...

Permalink Reply by Brian Train on September 15, 2008 at 5:51pm

This was an interesting paper.
I wonder if the board game they mention, "BigWig", will ever see the light of day...