Here is my real nightmare scenario for Ebola. It has nothing to do with one or two people getting the early symptoms as they get on an airplane, and then debarking to spread it into new population centers. It is much worse than that.  There is the possibility that this could turn into the modern equivalent of the Black Death.

The real nightmare, as I see it, can happen in October. That is when devout Muslims perform the Hajj, and make the mandatory pilgrimage to Mecca and Medina. Even if infected countries were to restrict travel, and Saudi Arabia were to implement screening, the chances of an infected person making the trip from West Africa remain high. Then they will be in a temporary population center of upwards of three million people, from all over the world, who will then go home.

Barring very strict travel controls from affected countries, extraordinary good luck, or divine intervention, this will spread ebola, and to new areas too. Think of pilgrims returning to Pakistan, India, Indonesia, Central Asia, Russia, and yes Europe, Canada and the United States. The shrines of Islam will become a giant petrie dish for the virus, and by November the entire world, Muslim and non-Muslim, will have Ebola in its midst.

Collectively, these countries have populations that don't measure in the millions so much as the billions, especially if Chinese Muslims, both Han and minority, are considered.  Further, none has experience with such a contagion as ebola.  Canada and Mexico especially addressed SARS, but Ebola will present a whole new range of challenges.

Viruses do not ask your religion or ethnicity. They only look for a host, and are equal opportunity killers.

So I am really interested in seeing what the Guardian of the Two Shrines does, and how many Muslims put off the Hajj for a year.

Views: 103

Comment

You need to be a member of ConsimWorld to add comments!

Join ConsimWorld

Help Center

Latest Activity

Eric Walters left a comment for R.A.H.J. Damwijk
"R.A.H.J. -- Welcome to the CONSIMWORLD Social website!  You seem to have a preference for…"
2 hours ago
Profile IconR.A.H.J. Damwijk and Roger Knowles joined ConsimWorld
yesterday
Eric Walters left a comment for Roger Knowles
"Welcome to the CONSIMWORLD Social Website, Roger!  My mom grew up on the East Side (Cleveland…"
Wednesday
Dave Smith joined David JULIEN's group
Thumbnail

Lock 'n Load

This is the place to discuss Lock 'n Load tactical system.See More
Tuesday
Dave Smith updated their profile
Monday
Michael Stultz left a comment for Eric Walters
"Thank you, Eric.  Like you, I enjoy a variety of games, be they smaller faster games or…"
Monday
Michael Stultz left a comment for Rick Barber
"Rick,  do you produce for purchase a larger map for Columbia Games’ Gettysburg Badges of…"
Sunday
Eric Walters left a comment for Michael Stultz
"Michael, welcome to the CONSIMWORLD Social Website!  Hope you find some Groups that you want…"
Sunday

Groups

Events

Members

CSW Related Links

Please be sure to check-out these CSW services.

© 2019   Created by John Kranz.   Powered by

Badges  |  Report an Issue  |  Terms of Service